PandemieGrippaleV1, Main, Exploration, bibRecord, 000138

Urgently Needed for Policy Guidance: An Operational Tool for Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic

Identifieur interne : 000138 ( Main/Exploration ); précédent : 000137; suivant : 000139

Urgently Needed for Policy Guidance: An Operational Tool for Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic

Auteurs : Stéphane Luchini [France] ; Miriam Teschl [France] ; Patrick Pintus [France] ; Mickael Degoulet [France] ; C. Baunez [France] ; Jean-Paul Moatti [France]

Source :

RBID : Hal:hal-02526456

English descriptors

mix :
- Acceleration, COVID-19, Convexity, Data Dashboard, Detection of Infectious Diseases, Public Health Policy, Sensitivity.

Abstract

The radical uncertainty around the current COVID19 pandemics requires that governments around the world should be able to track in real time not only how the virus spreads but, most importantly, what policies are effective in keeping the spread of the disease under check. To improve the quality of health decision-making, we argue that it is necessary to monitor and compare acceleration/deceleration of confirmed cases over health policy responses, across countries. To do so, we provide a simple mathematical tool to estimate the convexity/concavity of trends in epidemiological surveillance data. Had it been applied at the onset of the crisis, it would have offered more opportunities to measure the impact of the policies undertaken in different Asian countries, and to allow European and North-American governments to draw quicker lessons from these Asian experiences when making policy decisions. Our tool can be especially useful as the epidemic is currently extending to lower-income African and South American countries, some of which have weaker health systems.

Url:

https://hal-amu.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02526456

Affiliations:

Links toward previous steps (curation, corpus...)

to stream Hal, to step Corpus: 000636
to stream Hal, to step Curation: 000636
to stream Hal, to step Checkpoint: 000137
to stream Main, to step Merge: 000138
to stream Main, to step Curation: 000138

Le document en format XML

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<author><name sortKey="Baunez, C" sort="Baunez, C" uniqKey="Baunez C" first="C." last="Baunez">C. Baunez</name>
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<author><name sortKey="Moatti, Jean Paul" sort="Moatti, Jean Paul" uniqKey="Moatti J" first="Jean-Paul" last="Moatti">Jean-Paul Moatti</name>
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<profileDesc><textClass><keywords scheme="mix" xml:lang="en"><term>Acceleration</term>
<term>COVID-19</term>
<term>Convexity</term>
<term>Data Dashboard</term>
<term>Detection of Infectious Diseases</term>
<term>Public Health Policy</term>
<term>Sensitivity</term>
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<front><div type="abstract" xml:lang="en">              <p>The radical uncertainty around the current COVID19 pandemics requires that governments around the world should be able to track in real time not only how the virus spreads but, most importantly, what policies are effective in keeping the spread of the disease under check. To improve the quality of health decision-making, we argue that it is necessary to monitor and compare acceleration/deceleration of confirmed cases over health policy responses, across countries. To do so, we provide a simple mathematical tool to estimate the convexity/concavity of trends in epidemiological surveillance data. Had it been applied at the onset of the crisis, it would have offered more opportunities to measure the impact of the policies undertaken in different Asian countries, and to allow European and North-American governments to draw quicker lessons from these Asian experiences when making policy decisions. Our tool can be especially useful as the epidemic is currently extending to lower-income African and South American countries, some of which have weaker health systems.</p>
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</front>
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Urgently Needed for Policy Guidance: An Operational Tool for Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic

Urgently Needed for Policy Guidance: An Operational Tool for Monitoring the COVID-19 Pandemic

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